Short Term Load Forecast from FY’2023-24 to FY’2028-29
The ex-bus energy requirement in the state of Andhra Pradesh is anticipated to reach 111379 Mus & the peak power demand to reach 19913 MW by 2029
The consolidated Sales and Load forecast is prepared by aggregating the Discoms sales forecast by taking into account growth in cities Vizag, Vijayawada , Guntur ,Tirupati , Kurnool and growth due to Vizag Chennai Industrial Corridor (VCIC), Kakinada SEZ, Sri City SEZ ,Vizag Tech Park , Lift Irrigation schemes, new airports & new seaports etc. Transmission losses are anticipated to reduce from 2.75% in FY2022-23 to 2.70% by FY2028-29. T & D losses will follow downtrend from 11.5% (including PGCIL Losses of 0.8%) in FY 2023-24 to 10.98% (including PGCIL Losses of 0.95%) by FY2028-29 due to efficiency gains and measures like HVDS (High voltage distribution system) undertaken by AP Discoms.
Short Term Load Forecast from FY’2023-24 to FY’2028-29
Long Term Load Forecast from FY’2023-24 to FY’2028-29
T & D losses (including PGCIL Losses) will follow similar trends from 11.5% in FY 2023-24 to 10.98% by FY2028-29 and further come down 10.8% by FY2033-34
The consolidated Sales and Load forecast is prepared using trend method and End user method in view of demand expected to come up due to growth in cities Vizag, Vijayawada , Guntur ,Tirupati , Kurnool , Vizag Chennai Industrial Corridor (VCIC), Kakinada SEZ, Sri City SEZ, new airports, and new seaports.
New lift irrigation schemes i.e. Chintalapudi, & Hiramandalam, 24x7 power supply to all consumers and 9 hrs. supply to agriculture consumers during daytime will further contribute in increasing demand. Transmission losses will be reduced from present level of 2.75% (FY2022-23) to 2.7% by FY2028-29 and will further come down to 2.6% by FY 2033-2034. T & D losses (including PGCIL Losses) will follow similar trends from 11.5% in FY 2023-24 to 10.98% by FY2028-29 and further come down 10.8% by FY2033-34 due to efficiency gains and measures like HVDS (High voltage distribution system) undertaken by AP Discoms. The category wise sales forecast and state level energy and peak demand forecast from FY2029-30 to FY2033-34 as submitted in the Resource plan to APERC is as below:
District wise power demand in Andhra Pradesh
District wise demand forecast for FY 2022-23 & FY 2023-24 is shown in the below table
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